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Influencing current reality from desired future state scenario
from the present. Backcasting is not concerned with predicting the future: The major distinguishing characteristic of backcasting analyses is the concern
Backcasting
Foundation
pioneered a "Backcasting from Principles" approach meant to advance society towards greater sustainability. Whole-systems thinking and backcasting from sustainability
The_Natural_Step
Observation on the growth of integrated circuit capacity
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Moore's_law
Futures studies lessons learned methods
diverse range of forecasting methods, including anticipatory thinking, backcasting, simulation, and visioning. Some of the anticipatory methods include
Futures_techniques
Theories about the end of the universe
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Ultimate_fate_of_the_universe
Graphical presentation of the maturity of specific technologies
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Gartner_hype_cycle
At time of Captain Cook's arrival
surrounding the Hawaiian population and uses a new method of demographic backcasting to estimate a Hawaiian population of 683,200 in the year 1778 when Captain
Ancient_Hawaiian_population
Hypothetical global-scale disaster risk
despite its apparent likelihood Foresight (psychology) – Behavior-based backcasting & forecasting factors Future of Earth – Long-term future of planet Earth
Global_catastrophic_risk
Method for estimating the maturity of technologies
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Technology_readiness_level
Testing a predictive model on historical data
Anticipating consumer preferences/wishes with future products and services Backcasting – Influencing current reality from desired future state scenario Black
Backtesting
Interactive forecasting method
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Delphi_method
Long-term future of planet Earth
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Future_of_Earth
Technique used in strategic planning and futurology
0: Thirty Years of Transformative Research (2022) Futures techniques Backcasting Futures Studies Lipsett, Ilana. "IFTF - Using Causal Layered Analysis
Causal_layered_analysis
Hypothetical event
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Technological_singularity
Overview of and topical guide to futures studies
Scenario method Horizon scanning Delphi method Future history Monitoring Backcasting (eco-history) Cross-impact analysis Futures workshops Failure mode and
Outline_of_futures_studies
Methodology in futures studies
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Cross_impact_analysis
Angling technique
the force between. The caster's "stroke" backwards and forwards, for the backcast and the forward cast, operates the rod. Casting without landing the fly
Fly_fishing
Design practice critically concerned with future designs
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Speculative_design
Futures studies / Futures techniques method
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Scenario_planning
Attempts to spot a pattern from information
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Trend_analysis
Investment strategy
consensus-based scientific definition of sustainability, and the assumption that ‘Backcasting from Principles of Sustainability’, whereby a vision of a sustainable
Strategic sustainable investing
Strategic_sustainable_investing
Planning and building for time to come
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Future-proof
Methodology in futures studies
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Horizon_scanning
Graphical visualization method of changes
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Futures_wheel
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Future_of_mathematics
Depletion of natural organic and inorganic resources
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Resource_depletion
Study of postulating possible futures
Delphi method, including real-time Delphi Future history Monitoring Backcasting (eco-history) Cross-impact analysis Futures workshops Three Horizons
Futures_studies
exploration of the alternative pathways available to reach the future goal (backcasting). Both these processes can use participatory techniques where participants
Transition_scenario
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Science_fiction_prototyping
Branch of engineering dealing with hypothetical models
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Exploratory_engineering
Method in futures studies
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Three_Horizons
Theory of how a social policy or program is thought to work
they can respond, but don't wait until everything is perfect, either. Backcasting Communities Without Boundaries International (NGO) Critical theory Logic
Theory_of_change
Overview of and topical guide to thought
Attacking Faulty Reasoning Autistic thinking (see Glossary of psychiatry) Backcasting Causality Chunking (psychology) Cognition Cognitive biology Cognitive
Outline_of_thought
Increase in the rate of technological change through history
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Accelerating_change
Method of predicting the future
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Reference_class_forecasting
Overview of space exploration in the future
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Future_of_space_exploration
Problem-solving technique that breaks down a system into its component pieces
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Systems_analysis
Economic state
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Cashless_society
Theoretical composite race which will result from ongoing racial admixture
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Race_of_the_future
Term referring to various activities in futurology
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Foresight_(futures_studies)
Method of depicting causal relationships
philanthropic organizations, and governments adopt this model. Theory of change Backcasting Critical theory Scenario planning Thought experiment Renger R (2002)
Logic_model
realistic and workable concepts. The path-break concept is not futuring. Backcasting: The path break concepts are analysed to see how they differ from the
Transition_engineering
Type of fishing cast
The roll cast is a type of fly fishing cast that is used when a backcast cannot be carried out. It is typically used to control line slack. Borger, Gary
Roll_cast
Prediction of the future created by combining several separate forecasts
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Consensus_forecast
Element of technology management
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Technology_scouting
Aspect of design that challenges preconceptions
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Critical_design
Futures studies term
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Future-oriented technology analysis
Future-oriented_technology_analysis
Behavior-based backcasting & forecasting factors
Behavior-based backcasting & forecasting factors
Foresight_(psychology)
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Future_workshop
Scientific field
targeting on interventions in technological change: Technology assessment Backcasting Strategic niche management Transition management (governance) Wiebe E
Technology_dynamics
Design practice
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Design_fiction
include Making Sense of the Future and Restoring Democratic Stability: A Backcasting Wheel Approach, which apply interdisciplinary analysis to urgent policy
Rick_Szostak
Overview of and topical guide to self
Extent to which a person can cope with changes Foresight – Behavior-based backcasting & forecasting factors Imagination – Creative ability Insight – Understanding
Outline_of_self
Strategic management
working with analogies, scenario analysis, systems-dynamics mapping, and backcasting Probing: Probing practices are exercise in dedicated accelerator units
Corporate_foresight
Governance approach
have been created short-term 'interim' objectives can be formed through Backcasting (as illustrated by the purple lines in the diagram) and actors within
Transition management (governance)
Transition_management_(governance)
Model of innovation
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Chain-linked_model
Fly fishing rod made of split bamboo
Bamboo rods produce a smooth, fluid backcast which provides its own 'damping' effect at the end of the backcast. The forward cast accelerates the line
Bamboo_fly_rod
Conceptual framework
group was held at West Point, NY in August 2016. Accelerating change Backcasting Creative science foundation Forecasting Foresight (futures studies) Futures
Threatcasting
Mulder and Wouter Biesiot, Transition to a sustainable society : a backcasting approach to modelling energy and ecology, Cheltenham, UK, 1998, ISBN 978-1858987316
Wouter_Biesiot
Form of the Delphi method
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Real-time_Delphi
Determining the value of a new technology
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Technology_assessment
Predicting the future of technology
Population cycle Resource depletion Singularity Swanson's law Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact
Technology_forecasting
Aspect of survey and poll methodology
allow comparison between data collected in different modes (e.g. by backcasting a time series to determine what past results 'would have' been had they
Mode_effect
Office Hadley Centre, UK. ACRE exists to gather data to fuel a weather ‘backcasting’ model extending back to 1750. The Todd folios contain data of value
Todd_Weather_Folios
Global sustainable energy consortium
mitigation challenge (as set out in the 2015 Paris Agreement) will require backcasting to a suitable attractor, such as complete decarbonization. This method
Deep Decarbonization Pathways initiative
Deep_Decarbonization_Pathways_initiative
specifying the option payoff for the end stage n value distribution, and backcasting. Prospective milestones, or value thresholds, for each stage i are designated
Datar–Mathews method for real option valuation
Datar–Mathews_method_for_real_option_valuation
Neighborhood in Rotterdam, Netherlands
practices". SCORAI Europe Workshop Proceedings: Pathways, Transitions and Backcasting for Low-Carbon and Sustainable Lifestyles: 335. Retrieved 29 June 2025
Lloydkwartier
Mjolsness Ellen Reynolds. Uvic Printers. Feb 2008. Soft energy path Backcasting Ecological governance "Energy Strategy: The Road Not Taken?" published
Soft_water_path
American annual literary awards
Being Caribou: Five Months on Foot with a Caribou Herd 2007: Lou Ureneck, Backcast: Fatherhood, Fly-fishing, and a River Journey Through the Heart of Alaska
National_Outdoor_Book_Award
Colombian-American engineer
for air quality mapping. These methods and data can then be used for backcasting and forecasting air quality and performing source apportionment to identify
Paulina_Jaramillo
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Girl/Female
Gujarati, Hindu, Indian, Tamil
Love; Peace; Affection; Harmony; Dark One
Male
Irish
Danish and Norwegian form of Old Norse Þormóðr, TORMOD means "Thor's mind." In use by the Irish.
Boy/Male
Arabic
Clouds
Girl/Female
Latin Greek
Shining.
Girl/Female
Gujarati, Hindu, Indian
The Food of the Gods; Necter; Milk; Amrit; Elixir; Drink that Makes One Immortal
Girl/Female
Australian, Chinese
Beautiful; Charming Delicate
Boy/Male
Tamil
Girl/Female
Greek Shakespearean
Sea nymph. Nerissa was a character in Shakespeare's play, 'The Merchant of Venice'.
Surname or Lastname
English
English : habitational name for someone from a place called Winwick, for example in Northamptonshire or Cambridgeshire, both of which are named from the Old English personal name Wina + wīc ‘outlying dairy farm or settlement’.Jewish (eastern Ashkenazic; Winnik) : occupational name for a wine seller, from Polish wino ‘wine’ + the agent suffix -nik.
Girl/Female
Indian, Punjabi, Sikh
Hero
BACKCASTING
BACKCASTING
BACKCASTING
BACKCASTING
BACKCASTING