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Statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results
The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in the results of a survey. The larger the margin of error, the less
Margin_of_error
1943 film by Otto Preminger
Margin for Error is a 1943 American drama film directed by Otto Preminger. The screenplay by Lillie Hayward and Samuel Fuller is based on the 1939 play
Margin_for_Error
6th episode of the 4th season of The Wire
"Margin of Error" is the sixth episode of the fourth season of the HBO original series The Wire. Written by Eric Overmyer from a story by Ed Burns & Eric
Margin_of_Error_(The_Wire)
Play by Clare Boothe Luce
Margin for Error is a two-act play written in 1939 by Clare Boothe Luce. It is a satire of Nazism, and was staged on Broadway shortly after World War II
Margin_for_Error_(play)
Fictional character from The Boondocks
have, although a DNA test showed him to be '102% African with a 2% margin of error'. Although Ruckus had an abusive father, the main cause of his offensive
Uncle_Ruckus
Incorrect or inaccurate action
reasoning Margin of error Nonconformity – Production quality terminology Perfection Trial and error Oxford English Dictionary, s.v. "error (n.), Etymology
Error
"Final InsiderAdvantage Georgia GOP Runoff Survey; Both Races Within Margin of Error". InsiderAdvantage. June 15, 2026. Retrieved June 15, 2026. "(NOTE:
2026 United States Senate election in Georgia
2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Georgia
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election
Opinion_polling_for_the_46th_Canadian_federal_election
"Final InsiderAdvantage Georgia GOP Runoff Survey; Both Races Within Margin of Error". InsiderAdvantage. June 15, 2026. Retrieved June 15, 2026. "(Note:
2026 Georgia gubernatorial election
2026_Georgia_gubernatorial_election
Public Policy Polling survey conducted for Brian Bengs (I) found him and Sen. Mike Rounds (R) within the margin of error 🔴Rounds 45% ⚪️Bengs 42% ❓Undec. 13%
2026 United States Senate election in South Dakota
2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_South_Dakota
in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election by constituency
Opinion_polling_for_the_46th_Canadian_federal_election_by_constituency
Surveying on Scotland leaving the UK
poll As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents
Opinion polling on Scottish independence
Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence
Motor racing circuit in Baku, Azerbaijan
praised the circuit for the challenge offered by its mixture of long straights, slow technical sections and no margin for error due to the proximity
Baku_City_Circuit
Measures of observational error
Where not explicitly stated, the margin of error is understood to be one-half the value of the last significant place. For instance, a recording of 843.6 m
Accuracy_and_precision
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Brazilian_presidential_election
Democratic and Republican runoffs; Cruz won the general election by a wide margin. In an interview with Texas Monthly published in December 2007, incumbent
2012 United States Senate election in Texas
2012_United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, this shows what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random, probability-based
2027 Palestinian presidential election
2027_Palestinian_presidential_election
Austrian-American director, producer, and actor (1905–1986)
[citation needed] 20th Century Fox purchased the screen rights of Margin for Error for approximately $25,000 in the spring of 1941, and William Goetz, who
Otto_Preminger
Irish-American actor, director, writer, and producer (1928–2009)
(1955). He could also be seen in Zarak (1956) for Warwick Films. For television he was in "Margin for Error" in Terminus (1955), guest featured on The Adventures
Patrick_McGoohan
Edge of tissue removed by surgery
false negative error rate with narrow surgical margin; and one will note a low false negative error with a wide surgical margin Surgical margin has a much
Resection_margin
who carried the state with a margin similar to his 2016 result. Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election but withdrew on July
2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_North_Carolina
day, Harris won Virginia with 51.83% of the vote, carrying the state by a margin of 5.78%, similar to the 2016 results, albeit slightly wider. In 2016, Virginia
2024 United States presidential election in Virginia
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Virginia
Human research survey of public opinion
product B. When a single, global margin of error is reported for a survey, it refers to the maximum margin of error for all reported percentages using the
Opinion_poll
than Joe Biden's margin in 2020, though moderately wider than Hillary Clinton's margin in 2016. This was Harris's narrowest margin of victory in any
2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_New_Hampshire
Governor Ron DeSantis won re-election with a 19.4% margin of victory. Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidified Florida further as a safe red
2024 United States presidential election in Florida
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Florida
15th episode of the 2nd season of The Boondocks
his DNA test results, which reveal that he is 102% African with a 2% margin of error. He retreats into a bed-bound depression and quits all his jobs and
The_Uncle_Ruckus_Reality_Show
Statistical property
central limit theorem Margin of error Probable error Standard error of the weighted mean Sample mean and covariance Standard error of the median Variance
Standard_error
improvement over Hillary Clinton's 11% margin over Trump in 2016, and even a slight improvement over Barack Obama's margin in 2012, when Biden was his running
2020 United States presidential election in Delaware
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Delaware
Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite. "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing
Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2024_United_States_presidential_election
Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite. "Michigan Voter Survey, October 2024" (PDF). AARP. October
2024 United States presidential election in Michigan
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Michigan
Statistical considerations on how many observations to make
need to consider factors such as the desired level of confidence, margin of error, and variability in the responses. We might decide that we want a 95%
Sample_size_determination
sample for the overall poll (not the individual sample per electorate). RedBridge/Accent provided a mean electorate-level margin of error for the primary
Electorate opinion polling and projections for the next Australian federal election
Electorate_opinion_polling_and_projections_for_the_next_Australian_federal_election
Trump narrowly lost Maine at-large to Hillary Clinton by less than 3% and a margin of 22,142 votes. However, in 2020, Biden won the state by just over 9% and
2024 United States presidential election in Maine
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Maine
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in British Columbia
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_British_Columbia
last voted for Obama in 2012, before switching to Trump in 2016, back to the Democratic column. Biden held Trump to a single-digit margin in the Charlotte-area
2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_North_Carolina
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in Alberta
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_Alberta
Biden carried the Pine Tree State by a 9.07% margin over Trump, improving over Hillary Clinton's 3% win margin in 2016. Biden handily carried Maine's 1st
2020 United States presidential election in Maine
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Maine
Statistical error
and has been referred to as "sampling error", despite not being an "error" in the statistical sense. Margin of error Propagation of uncertainty Ratio estimator
Sampling_error
Hampshire for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of
Opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primary in New Hampshire
Opinion_polling_for_the_2016_Republican_Party_presidential_primary_in_New_Hampshire
a landslide, winning the state by 13.2 percentage points, the widest margin for any candidate since 1972. This was the first time a Republican won the
2024 United States presidential election in Iowa
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election
Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election
Computer vision system
which varied among events. Some tournaments allowed players a greater margin for error, with players allowed an unlimited numbers of challenges over the course
Hawk-Eye
American actor and director (1905–1980)
Hirschfeld also captured Levene's original Broadway performances in Margin For Error and Light Up The Sky. Other notable caricaturists who memorialized
Sam_Levene
Collins winning all 16 of Maine's counties, and the election overall by a margin of 223,251 votes. Collins won both of the congressional districts in the
2014 United States Senate election in Maine
2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_Maine
chronological order. The front-runner is in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics. Pechay, Isabelle (May 30, 2026). "Survey shows Sara
Opinion polling for the 2028 Philippine presidential election
Opinion_polling_for_the_2028_Philippine_presidential_election
American journalist (born 1988)
publishing a blog called Margin of Error, and held an internship at NBC News' political unit in Washington, D.C. Prior to working for FiveThirtyEight, Enten
Harry_Enten
American actress (1910–1990)
Trouble, with Don Ameche. Otto Preminger directed her in the drama Margin for Error (1943). Bennett replaced Merle Oberon in the title role of Fritz Lang's
Joan_Bennett
Ratio between turnover and profit
it indicates how much profit the company makes for every dollar of revenue generated. Profit margin is important because this percentage provides a comprehensive
Profit_margin
Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite. "InsiderAdvantage Pennsylvania Survey: Trump Leads by Two
2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania
Bowling term
three spares in a row is most commonly referred to as a “sparrow." Margins of error for spares Bowling-Tips.org (2013). "How to Score Bowling". Bowling-Tips
Spare_(bowling)
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in Newfoundland and Labrador
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_Newfoundland_and_Labrador
the North Carolina House of Representatives by about 45,000 votes and a margin of 1.6%. This made the election the second-closest race of the 2014 Senate
2014 United States Senate election in North Carolina
2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_North_Carolina
voters holding a moderate political ideology. Trump amassed the largest margin of victory in a New Hampshire Republican primary since 2000, when John McCain
2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
2016_New_Hampshire_Republican_presidential_primary
it just blew the door open for Abbott. Jack Fink (November 9, 2024). "Trump's margin of victory in Texas is largest for a president-elect in 20 years"
2024 United States presidential election in Texas
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in Saskatchewan
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_Saskatchewan
Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite. "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing
2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin
by 3.5%, a reduced margin of Republican victory compared to previous cycles, despite a more favorable presidential election year for the GOP nationwide
2024 United States presidential election in Arizona
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Arizona
ultimately won Ohio for the third straight election, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris by 11.21%, the widest presidential margin of victory in the state
2024 United States presidential election in Ohio
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Ohio
won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary. The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After
2018 Florida gubernatorial election
2018_Florida_gubernatorial_election
been sworn in, but in the end, David Perdue defeated Michelle Nunn by a margin of 7.7%. Perdue's victory was part of a series of Republican victories across
2014 United States Senate election in Georgia
2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_Georgia
given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate. Immediately
Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election
2023 studio album by Sprain
long, with two, "Margin for Error" and "God, or Whatever You Call It" extending to 24 minutes. Kent said that the album was "not long for the sake of being
The_Lamb_as_Effigy
Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election Notes 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with
Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election by constituency
Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election_by_constituency
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in Quebec
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_Quebec
ultimately won the state by 13 points, a three-point improvement over his margin of victory in 2020. He flipped three county-equivalents from the prior election
2024 United States presidential election in Alaska
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Alaska
2016 or 2020, but Democrats still consistently led by margins well outside the margin of error. Nonetheless, Trump's performance in New York was the strongest
2024 United States presidential election in New York
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_New_York
One of the Chinese Classic Novels
versions. The original title of the novel was Water Margin for Loyalty and Justice (忠義水滸傳). Water Margin is considered one of the masterpieces of early vernacular
Water_Margin
American actor (1926–1994)
"The Face of Murder" - Freddie O'Neal (1972) The Rookies - episode "Margin For Error" - Officer Buck Sanborn (1972) The Streets of San Francisco - episode
Claude_Akins
predicted, Tuberville easily defeated Jones, whose 20.36% margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent U.S. Senator since Arkansas' Blanche Lincoln
2020 United States Senate election in Alabama
2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alabama
Kayla (November 23, 2020). "Detroit had more vote errors in 2016 when Trump won Michigan by a narrow margin. He didn't object then". The Washington Post.
2020 United States presidential election in Michigan
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Michigan
the winner won a majority of counties or won by a single-digit margin. Quinn later ran for Illinois Attorney General in 2018 and lost the Democratic primary
2014 Illinois gubernatorial election
2014_Illinois_gubernatorial_election
Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite. "October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing
2024 United States presidential election in Nevada
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Nevada
state in 2016 by a narrow margin of 0.72%, Biden was able to reclaim the state, winning it by a similarly narrow 1.17% margin. Because of the way the state
2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania
2016. Jacobs, Jennifer (February 5, 2016). "Iowa margin between Clinton, Sanders shifts as errors found". Des Moines Register. The USA Today Network
2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses
2016_Iowa_Democratic_presidential_caucuses
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in Manitoba
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_Manitoba
Famine of medieval Europe
and population level at a historical high made it a time with little margin for error in food production. In the spring of 1315, unusually heavy rain began
Great_Famine_of_1315–1317
for a Republican since 2002. Zeldin carried voters outside New York City by a 54.1–45.9% margin and carried Upstate New York by a 54.6%–45.4% margin.
2022 New York gubernatorial election
2022_New_York_gubernatorial_election
Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error". Mediaite. "Georgia General Statewide Survey - October 2024" (PDF)
2024 United States presidential election in Georgia
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Georgia
2015 American action comedy film by Kyle Newman
original on February 14, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2015. "CANNES: Little Margin for Error in Selling Mid-Budget Films - Variety". August 7, 2016. Archived from
Barely_Lethal
narrow plurality win in 2004. In 2016, however, Iowa voted for Trump by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.4%, voting over ten points to the right of the nation
2020 United States presidential election in Iowa
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa
Jimmy Carter carried the state in 1976. Trump's 5.58% margin of victory was the narrowest for a Republican since 1996, when Southerner Bill Clinton was
2020 United States presidential election in Texas
2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas
result, and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended
Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election
Presence of greater variability in a data set than would be expected
that prediction. For example, in a statistical survey, the margin of error (determined by sample size) predicts the sampling error and hence dispersion
Overdispersion
a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based
2025 Canadian federal election in Nova Scotia
2025_Canadian_federal_election_in_Nova_Scotia
American football player (born 2001)
Matthew (October 1, 2023). "Forbes' struggles highlight Commanders' thin margin for error in loss to Eagles". WashingtonTimes.com. Retrieved October 6, 2023
Emmanuel_Forbes
narrow favorite based on polling, but he won by around 11 points, a larger margin than most experts predicted. However, this was the first Senate election
2020 United States Senate election in Kansas
2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Kansas
election voters from a survey of 1,400 registered voters (overall margin of error ± 2.2% including design effect) Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 1% Behrman/Jewell
2022 Texas gubernatorial election
2022_Texas_gubernatorial_election
2024 Indian TV series or programme
patriotism." Rishil Jogani for Pinkvilla rated 3/5 and wrote that "A show like Ranneeti has very little margin for error because it is inspired by true
Ranneeti:_Balakot_&_Beyond
Israeli political party
previously "ran for Knesset as part of Bennett’s previous party", Yamina, and former Target Market executive Nir Novak. “The margin of error is very different
Bennett_2026
Senator Mark Udall ran for re-election to a second term, but narrowly lost to Republican U.S. Representative Cory Gardner by a margin of 1.9 percent. Despite
2014 United States Senate election in Colorado
2014_United_States_Senate_election_in_Colorado
double-digit margin. Kansas has a long tradition of ticket-splitting at the gubernatorial level: despite the state's consistent support for Republican presidential
2026 Kansas gubernatorial election
2026_Kansas_gubernatorial_election
the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed. The actual result matches this map with the exceptions
Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2008_United_States_presidential_election
of about 6%. After Biden's 19% margin of victory in 2020, Harris' 18% margin was the second-largest in the state for the Democratic Party since 1964
2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Washington_(state)
200 on week 2). The margin of error is ± 2.5 percentage For Halonen and ± 3 for Niinistö and Vanhanen. ^a Conducted via telephone for Helsingin Sanomat
2006 Finnish presidential election
2006_Finnish_presidential_election
Kamala Harris by the fourth-largest margin among Democratic Senate candidates in 2024, and the largest margin for a non-incumbent. Gallego particularly
2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_Arizona
since 2000, including by double-digit margins since 2004. On election night, Tennessee voted decisively Republican for the third consecutive election, with
2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee
2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Tennessee
Surveys of theories on terror attacks
September 11, 2001, and that they consciously failed to act." The margin of error for this poll was 3.5 percent. The second major Zogby poll on 9/11 was
Opinion polls about 9/11 conspiracy theories
Opinion_polls_about_9/11_conspiracy_theories
of the vote in 2018. On November 17 the election was called for Burgess Owens, with a margin of less than 1%. Owens won the election by overperforming in
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
2020_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Utah
within a set are within twice the margin of error of each other. When adding polls remember to double the margin of error provided to see the true result
Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries
primary by a landslide margin of over thirty points, thanks in large part to support from Hispanic/Latinos (whom she won by a margin of 71–29 over Bernie
2016 Texas Democratic presidential primary
2016_Texas_Democratic_presidential_primary
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