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Calculation of financial risk
Expected loss is the sum of the values of all possible losses, each multiplied by the probability of that loss occurring. In bank lending (homes, autos
Expected_loss
US accounting standard
Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL) is a credit loss accounting standard (model) that was issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) on
Current Expected Credit Losses
Current_Expected_Credit_Losses
Topics referred to by the same term
Expected shortfall Expected utility hypothesis Expected return Expected loss Unexpected (disambiguation) Expected value (disambiguation) This disambiguation
Expected
Mathematical relation assigning a probability event to a cost
minimizes the expected loss experienced under the squared-error loss function, while the median is the estimator that minimizes expected loss experienced
Loss_function
Asset whose market value is lower than that listed in its owner's balance sheet
The impairment cost is calculated using either the Incurred Loss Model or the Expected Loss Model. An investment is recognized as impaired when there is
Impaired_asset
Estimated loss (lower-bound): Biggest Money Losers (The Numbers) Expected loss (upper-bound): Chmielewski, Dawn C. (March 20, 2012). "Disney expects $200-million
List of biggest box-office bombs
List_of_biggest_box-office_bombs
Statistical modeling technique
median estimator). A specific quantile can be found by minimizing the expected loss of Y − u {\displaystyle Y-u} with respect to u {\displaystyle u} :(pp
Quantile_regression
Risk measure estimating the average loss in the worst tail of the distribution
the market risk or credit risk of a portfolio. The "expected shortfall at q% level" is the expected return on the portfolio in the worst q % {\displaystyle
Expected_shortfall
Average value of a random variable
probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, mean, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. The expected value of a random
Expected_value
Share of an asset
models and also a parameter used in the calculation of economic capital, expected loss or regulatory capital under Basel II for a banking institution. This
Loss_given_default
Concept in machine learning
{\displaystyle y} . As a result, the goal of the learning problem is to minimize expected loss (also known as the risk), defined as I [ f ] = ∫ X × Y V ( f ( x → )
Loss functions for classification
Loss_functions_for_classification
Games played in gambling facilities
rounds, the expected loss will be 10 × 1 × 5.26% = 0.53. As you can see, standard deviation is many times the magnitude of the expected loss. The standard
Casino_game
Probability applied to gambling
return is positive, the expected return is greater than zero and one will win; if the rate of return is negative, the expected return is less than zero
Gambling_mathematics
Mathematical decision rule
decision rule that minimizes the posterior expected value of a loss function (i.e., the posterior expected loss). Equivalently, it maximizes the posterior
Bayes_estimator
Possibility of something bad happening
tail is the loss with a certain probability of exceedance, that is, the value at risk. Risk is often measured as the expected value of the loss. This combines
Risk
Ratio of losses to gains
"permissible", "target", "balance point", or "expected" loss ratio are used interchangeably to refer to the loss ratio necessary to fulfill the insurer's profitability
Loss_ratio
Statistical property
the expected loss function ExpectedLoss = E [ ( c n S 2 − σ 2 ) 2 ] = E [ σ 4 ( c n S 2 σ 2 − 1 ) 2 ] {\displaystyle \operatorname {ExpectedLoss} =\operatorname
Bias_of_an_estimator
Power-system reliability measure
Expected unserved energy (EUE), sometimes called expected energy not supplied (or not served, EENS) and a loss of energy expectation, (LOEE), is a key
Expected_unserved_energy
Any of various types of risk associated with financing
utilized and when the expected repayment of the loan is as well as the reason behind the company's need to borrow the loan. Expected Loss (EL) is a concept
Financial_risk
Gambling card game
double-down in these situations and thereby increases the player's expected loss. The Reno rule increases the house edge by around 0.1%, and its European
Blackjack
Type of "good" decision rule in Bayesian statistics
} minimizes this expectation of expected loss (i.e., is a Bayes rule) if and only if it minimizes the expected loss for each x ∈ X {\displaystyle x\in
Admissible_decision_rule
Aspect of decision and prospect theories
Increased expected value maximization with losses – It was found that individuals are more likely to select choice options with higher expected value (namely
Loss_aversion
Method for optimizing information security investments
conditions. The potential loss from a breach, represented by L, which can be expressed in monetary terms. The expected loss is calculated as vL before
Gordon–Loeb_model
Casino operated on an internet platform
on blackjack with a house edge of 0.5%, the expected loss is $25. Therefore, the player has an expected gain of $75 after claiming the $100 bonus. A
Online_casino
Financial term
institution. PD is closely linked to the expected loss, which is defined as the product of the PD, the loss given default (LGD) and the exposure at default
Probability_of_default
Method of assessing bank capital requirements
bank is required to compare the total expected losses with the total eligible provisions. If the expected loss amount is less than the provisions, the
Internal ratings-based approach (credit risk)
Internal_ratings-based_approach_(credit_risk)
Term in electrical engineering
multiple different, and loose, phrases like “loss of load duration” and “expected total number of days of loss of load". Multiple reliability indices for
Loss_of_load
Accounting term
builder can recognize 25% of the expected total profit on the contract. This method is preferred. However, expected loss should be recognized fully and
Revenue_recognition
2008 webcomic strip by Tim Buckley
"Loss", sometimes referred to as "loss.jpg", is a comic strip published on June 2, 2008, by Tim Buckley in his gaming-related webcomic Ctrl+Alt+Del. It
Loss_(Ctrl+Alt+Del)
Expected gain on a financial investment
The expected return (or expected gain) on a financial investment is the expected value of its return (of the profit on the investment). It is a measure
Expected_return
Method for calculating loss reserves
and expected claims loss reserving methods, the Bornhuetter–Ferguson method uses both reported or paid losses as well as an a priori expected loss ratio
Bornhuetter–Ferguson_method
Game of chance played with dice
1 and 10 to 1 respectively for each of these types of outcome, the expected loss as a percentage of the stake wagered is: 1 - ((75/216) × 2 + (15/216)
Chuck-a-luck
Product sold below cost to stimulate other, more profitable sales
below cost. One use of a loss leader is to draw customers into a store where they are likely to buy other goods. The vendor expects that the typical customer
Loss_leader
Identification, evaluation and control of risks
The formula proposes calculation of ALE (annualized loss expectancy) and compares the expected loss value to the security control implementation costs
Risk_management
Bornhuetter–Ferguson method uses both past loss development as well as an independently derived prior estimate of ultimate expected losses. Outstanding claims reserves
Loss_reserving
2012 film by Kirk Jones
Big Loss". The Hollywood Reporter. Archived from the original on January 27, 2021. Retrieved February 24, 2021. "What to Expect When You're Expecting".
What to Expect When You're Expecting (film)
What_to_Expect_When_You're_Expecting_(film)
Concept in economics
aggregate social behaviour. The expected utility hypothesis states an agent chooses between risky prospects by comparing expected utility values (i.e., the
Expected_utility_hypothesis
Potential loss due to a failed bank loan
immediate loss that the lender would suffer if the borrower (counterparty) fully defaults on its debt. The EAD is closely linked to the expected loss, which
Exposure_at_default
Measure of the accuracy of probabilistic predictions
represented graphically through the so-called Brier Curves, where the expected loss is shown for each operating condition. This makes the Brier Score a
Brier_score
application to calculate the expected cost or loss. The formula, expressed as a double summation, utilizes joint probabilities: Expected Loss = ∑ i ∑ j P ( Actual
Cost-sensitive machine learning
Cost-sensitive_machine_learning
Loss of hair from the head or body
Hair loss, also known as alopecia or baldness, refers to a loss of hair from part of the head or body. Typically at least the head is involved. The severity
Hair_loss
Measure of power reflected by a discontinuity in a line or fiber
opposite sense to that expected of a "loss". As defined above, RL will always be positive, since Pr can never exceed Pi. However, return loss has historically
Return_loss
and the use of new nomenclature: Scenario Expected Loss (SEL), Scenario Upper Loss (SUL), and Probable Loss (PL). The ASTM guidelines specify four "levels"
Probable_maximum_loss
Concept in genetics
"Interpretation and Use of Expected Progeny Differences (EPD)" (PDF). Pfzer Animal Genetics. Understanding and using Expected Progeny Differences (EPDs)
Expected_progeny_difference
Transmitted packets failing to reach their destination
not exhibit similar patterns of packet loss, as one might expect. Cellular networks can experience packet loss caused by, "high bit error rate (BER),
Packet_loss
Extensive subject of Management accounting
non-financial risks, aggregates them, and accounts for these exposures through expected loss accounting provisions. Risk accounting is an extension of management
Risk_accounting
American trader
that the CDOs were worth most of their expected value. Had he conceded the drop in value earlier, the GPCG's losses may have been limited to a relatively
Howie_Hubler
Machine learning paradigm
{\displaystyle R(g)} of function g {\displaystyle g} is defined as the expected loss of g {\displaystyle g} . This can be estimated from the training data
Supervised_learning
Proposals for bank requirements
important since the "vast majority of losses were from trading books during the 2008 crisis" The use of expected shortfall instead of value at risk as
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book
Fundamental_Review_of_the_Trading_Book
Partial or total inability to hear
decrease individual level risk of developing hearing loss, the prevalence of hearing loss is expected to rise due to the aging population in the US. Another
Hearing_loss
Probabilistic graphical representation of causal relationships
applications, when choosing values for the variable subset that minimize some expected loss function, for instance the probability of decision error. A Bayesian
Bayesian_network
Poker playing program
solving the game to just "solving" the game, one has to reduce this expected loss to precisely 0 big blinds per game). However, 0.000986 big blinds per
Cepheus_(poker_bot)
adverse event occurring is p. Then, the expected cost of taking the precautionary action is C and the expected cost of not taking the precautionary action
Cost-loss_model
Financial strength measure for banks
that it should provide protection against unexpected losses. This is not the same as expected losses, which are covered by provisions, reserves and current
Tier_1_capital
Medical condition
loss, also known as androgenetic alopecia, is a hair loss condition that primarily affects the top and front of the scalp. In male-pattern hair loss,
Pattern_hair_loss
Decision rule used for minimizing the possible loss for a worst-case scenario
having to make an expected payment of more than 1/ 3 by choosing A1 with probability 1/ 6 and A2 with probability 5/ 6 : The expected payoff for A
Minimax
Losses H = Actual Incurred Losses F = Actual Excess Losses (H-I) E = Expected Primary Losses D = Expected Incurred Loses C = Expected Excess Losses (D-E)
Experience_modifier
Risk of disrupting business operations
systems, or from external events (including legal risk), differ from the expected losses". The scope of operational risk is then broad, and can also include
Operational_risk
Legal rationale involving risks, losses and obligations
(L)>B} To assess the expected loss, statistical methods, such as regression analysis, may be used. A common metric for quantifying losses in the case of work
Hand_formula
Erosion of cultural practices or beliefs
distinction between cultural change and cultural loss is not clearly defined. Cultural change is a normal and expected process of cultural evolution, as cultures
Cultural_loss
Process of using data analysis for predicting population data from sample data
they minimize expected loss, and least squares estimators are optimal under squared error loss functions, in that they minimize expected loss. While statisticians
Statistical_inference
Fourth season of anime television series
set to premiere on August 12 of the same year and expected to run for 8 episodes. The season is expected to adapt "Arc 6" of the light novels (volumes 21–25)
Re:Zero_season_4
Military euphemism
An acceptable loss, also known as acceptable damage or acceptable casualties, is a military euphemism used to indicate casualties or destruction inflicted
Acceptable_loss
Gambling strategy where the amount is raised until a person wins or becomes insolvent
that the expected value of a series of bets is equal to the sum, over all bets that could potentially occur in the series, of the expected value of a
Martingale_(betting_system)
Information-theoretic measure
where E p [ ⋅ ] {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} _{p}[\cdot ]} is the expected value operator with respect to the distribution p {\displaystyle p} . The
Cross-entropy
Extinction of species or loss of species in a given habitat
Biodiversity loss happens when species disappear completely from Earth (extinction) or when there is a decrease or disappearance of species in a specific
Biodiversity_loss
Theory in actuarial science and applied probability
{\lambda }{c}}\right)x}.} Assuming that the premium is equal to the expected loss, c = λ μ {\displaystyle c=\lambda \mu } , we see that the company will
Ruin_theory
Investment strategy
of the options. Expected value = (credit received * short leg OTM probability) - (maximum loss * long leg ITM probability) - (expected short leg payout
Credit_spread_(options)
Single-loss expectancy (SLE) is the monetary value expected from the occurrence of a risk on an asset. It is related to risk management and risk assessment
Single-loss_expectancy
Methodology for evaluating risks
the probability of occurrence per unit time). The total risk is the expected loss: the sum of the products of the consequences multiplied by their probabilities
Probabilistic_risk_assessment
Complimentary items and services from casinos
theoretical loss (known as ADT, theoretical loss, or "theo"). Theoretical loss is the amount of money a player is expected to lose based on the long run statistical
Comp_(casino)
Algorithm to estimate U.S. students' ability to pay for tuition
In the post-secondary education system of the United States, an expected family contribution (EFC) is an estimate of a student's, and for a dependent student
Expected_family_contribution
Bet sizing formula for long-term growth
maximizing the long-term expected value of the logarithm of wealth, which is equivalent to maximizing the long-term expected geometric growth rate. John
Kelly_criterion
Theory of behavioral economics
a lower expected utility (i.e., the value function is concave). In the example, agents will choose the certain $450 even though the expected utility of
Prospect_theory
Type of insurance
analyzing historical claims data to project expected stop loss premiums into the future to control for stop loss coverage costs and estimate the value of
Stop-loss_insurance
Concept in decision theory
In decision theory and quantitative policy analysis, the expected value of including uncertainty (EVIU) is a measure that quantifies the potential benefit
Expected value of including uncertainty
Expected_value_of_including_uncertainty
Generalized expected utility model of choice under uncertainty
The rank-dependent expected utility model (originally called anticipated utility) is a generalized expected utility model of choice under uncertainty,
Rank-dependent expected utility
Rank-dependent_expected_utility
Interest charged to credit card users
chart to make a loan, determine an expected rate of return on the investment (X) and add that to the expected loss rate from the chart. The sum is an
Credit_card_interest
Failed NASA mission to Mars (1998–1999)
and US customary units by spacecraft builder Lockheed Martin. After the loss of Mars Observer and the onset of the rising costs associated with the future
Mars_Climate_Orbiter
Protection from financial loss
loss: The size of the loss must be meaningful from the perspective of the insured. Insurance premiums need to cover both the expected cost of losses,
Insurance
Measure of algorithm accuracy
set of n {\displaystyle n} data points. The generalization error or expected loss or risk I [ f ] {\displaystyle I[f]} of a particular function f {\displaystyle
Generalization_error
Interest rate taking inflation into account
and anticipated a 2% rise in prices, they would expect to earn a real interest rate of 3%. The expected real interest rate is not a single number, as different
Real_interest_rate
Medical condition
than from all cells. Instead of the expected 46,XY karyotype, the affected cells have a 45,X karyotype due to the loss of the Y chromosome. Other cells retain
Mosaic_loss_of_chromosome_Y
Middle quantile of a data set or probability distribution
comparison statistics. The expected value of the median falls slightly as sample size increases while, as would be expected, the standard errors of both
Median
Paradox involving a game with repeated coin flipping
the lottery represents an infinite expected gain to the player, then it also represents an infinite expected loss to the host. No one could be observed
St._Petersburg_paradox
Statistical optimization technique
acquisition functions include probability of improvement expected improvement Bayesian expected losses Thompson sampling and hybrids of these. They all trade-off
Bayesian_optimization
Two strategic starting hands in blackjack
can convert a hand that presents an expected loss to two hands that may present an expected profit or a reduced loss, depending on what the dealer is showing
Aces_and_eights_(blackjack)
Hearing loss caused by an inner ear or vestibulocochlear nerve defect
affect audiometric results, but perhaps not in the way expected. For example, it may be expected that thresholds would not be obtained at the frequencies
Sensorineural_hearing_loss
Risk that a borrower or counterparty fails to meet financial obligations
Exposure at default EE Expected exposure EL Expected loss JTD – Jump-to-default, where the reference entity suddenly defaults LGD Loss given default PD Probability
Credit_risk
Irish software company
Datalex warned that it expected to report an adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) loss of between $1m (€870,000)
Datalex
proportional reduction in loss was proposed by Bruce Cooil and Roland T. Rust in their 1994 paper Reliability and Expected Loss: A Unifying Principle. Many
Proportional reduction in loss
Proportional_reduction_in_loss
Variant of the SVM algorithm
{\displaystyle q} . Empirical loss function Since the expected loss function is not applicable, the following empirical loss function is selected for the
Ranking_SVM
Flag Carrier of Hong Kong
In December 2020, the company said that it expected losses in the second half to be higher than the losses of the first half due to low demand, restructuring
Cathay_Pacific
Game of chance played with a wheel
and 3 to 1, respectively, for each of these types of outcome, the expected loss as a percentage of the stake wagered is: 1 - [(7/54) * 2 + (4/54) *
Big_Six_wheel
Interference effect in radar systems
ability to model real-world objects like aircraft to understand the expected fluctuation loss effects. For basic considerations of the strength of a signal
Fluctuation_loss
2008 American film
Stop-Loss is a 2008 American war drama film directed by Kimberly Peirce and starring Ryan Phillippe, Channing Tatum, Abbie Cornish and Joseph Gordon-Levitt
Stop-Loss_(film)
Banking regulation framework
cash outflows over a specified stress period (total expected cash outflows minus total expected cash inflows). Mathematically it is expressed as follows:
Basel_III
Accounting standard
referred to as the Current Expected Credit Losses or CECL model. Under both IFRS 9 and the FASB model there will be a loss, to the extent of the allowance
IFRS_9
Elections for the 6th Legislative assembly of Uttarakhand
Legislative assembly elections are expected to be held in Uttarakhand in February 2027 to elect all 70 members of the Uttarakhand Legislative Assembly
Next Uttarakhand Legislative Assembly election
Next_Uttarakhand_Legislative_Assembly_election
Type of market failure
the sense that the expected return on type B projects is a mean preserving spread of type A projects; they have the same expected return, but higher variance
Credit_rationing
EXPECTED LOSS
EXPECTED LOSS
Boy/Male
Hindu, Indian, Traditional
Expected
Boy/Male
Muslim
Respected
Girl/Female
Tamil
Apekshaa | அபேகà¯à®·à®¾
Expected, Expectation
Apekshaa | அபேகà¯à®·à®¾
Boy/Male
Muslim
Expected
Boy/Male
Indian
Respected
Boy/Male
Hindu, Indian
Desired; Expected
Girl/Female
Indian
Expected, Expectation
Boy/Male
Arabic, Bengali, Gujarati, Hindu, Indian, Kannada, Muslim, Telugu
Expected
Boy/Male
Arabic, Muslim
Respected
Boy/Male
Muslim
Expected
Girl/Female
Tamil
Apeksha | அபேகà¯à®·à®¾
Expected, Expectation
Apeksha | அபேகà¯à®·à®¾
Girl/Female
Indian
Expected, Expectation
Boy/Male
Hindu
Expected
Girl/Female
Muslim
Respected
Girl/Female
Arabic, Muslim
Respected
Boy/Male
Tamil
Expected
Girl/Female
Indian, Tamil
Expected
Boy/Male
Arabic, Muslim
Expected; Prospective; Anticipated; Awaited
Boy/Male
Tamil
Expected
Girl/Female
Gujarati, Hindu, Indian, Kannada, Malayalam, Marathi, Sindhi, Tamil, Telugu
Expected
EXPECTED LOSS
EXPECTED LOSS
Girl/Female
Muslim/Islamic
Content satisfied
Boy/Male
Hindu
Boy/Male
Tamil
Poet of the kingdom, King of poet
Boy/Male
Gujarati, Hindu, Indian, Kannada, Malayalam, Marathi, Telugu
The Founder of Chandra Dynasty
Male
Norwegian
Norwegian name VARG means "wolf."
Boy/Male
Hebrew, Hindu, Indian
God is My Strength
Boy/Male
Indian
A famous king, Iron
Female
Portuguese
Portuguese form of Latin Veronica, VERÔNICA means "bringer of victory."
Girl/Female
Tamil
Jaagritha | ஜாகà¯à®°à¯€à®¤à®¾
Alert
Boy/Male
Latin American
Worthy of praise; of value. Saint Anthony is the patron sain of poor people. Famous Bearer:...
EXPECTED LOSS
EXPECTED LOSS
EXPECTED LOSS
EXPECTED LOSS
EXPECTED LOSS
a.
Unhoped; unexpected.
a.
Not to be expected; inconceivable.
a.
Alt. of Exserted
a.
Unexpected.
v. t.
To look for (mentally); to look forward to, as to something that is believed to be about to happen or come; to have a previous apprehension of, whether of good or evil; to look for with some confidence; to anticipate; -- often followed by an infinitive, sometimes by a clause (with, or without, that); as, I expect to receive wages; I expect that the troops will be defeated.
a.
As might not be expected; -- serving to introduce what is unexpected or less expected.
imp. & p. p.
of Expect
n.
The first or the expected second coming of Christ.
a.
Not expected; coming without warning; sudden.
a.
Capable of being done, executed, or effected; practicable.
n.
That which is expected or looked for.
a.
Disposed or expected to respond; answering; according; corresponding.
infinitive.
Performed; executed; finished.
a.
That may be expected or looked for.
a.
Not hoped or expected.
n.
One who expects.
a.
Not expected or looked for.
a.
Not to be expected or anticipated.
a.
Unexpected; unforeseen; unware.
v. i.
To succeed; to turn out as expected.